Event • Jun 15, 2026
Continuities and discontinuities on the Lexis surface, also demoscapes.org
Jonas Schöley. Dansk Demografisk Forening, Copenhagen (DK).
A hidden Markov extension to the Lee-Carter model.
Event • Jun 4, 2026
Identification, characterization, and simulation of mortality shocks via Hidden Markov Lee-Carter models
Jonas Schöley. EPC 2026, Bologna (IT).
A hidden Markov extension to the Lee-Carter model.
Event • Jun 3, 2026
Open science practices for demographic research
Jonas Schöley, Aliakbar Akbaritabar. EAPS Open Science Working Group, Bologna (Italy).
Kicking off EAPS Working Group on Open Science in Demography.
Event • May 26, 2026
Identification, characterization, and simulation of mortality shocks via Hidden Markov Lee-Carter models
Jonas Schöley. MIRG @ LSHTM, London (UK).
A hidden Markov extension to the Lee-Carter model.
Event • Apr 20, 2026
Gestational age patterns of feto-infant mortality
Jonas Schöley. MRC Unit The Gambia / LSHTM, Online.
Ontogenescence and the birth hump in data scarce settings
Event • Jan 28, 2026
Identification, characterization, and simulation of mortality shocks via Hidden Markov Lee-Carter models
Jonas Schöley. Space-Time Analysis Bayes Research Group, Seattle (USA).
A hidden Markov extension to the Lee-Carter model.
Event • Oct 9, 2025
Temporary shock or lasting scar?
Jonas Schöley. 7th Human Mortality Database Symposium, INED Paris (France).
Is the COVID-19 mortality shock temporary, or do populations have to face a lasting scar?
Event • Sep 24, 2025
Gompertz in early life or my on-off-on relationship with Vaupelian modeling
Jonas Schöley. Evolutionary Demography Society, Oxford (UK).
Keynote in honour of 200 years of Gompertz’s law of mortality.
Event • Jun 12, 2025
Innovations in Demographic Forecasting and Projection
Jonas Schöley (Chair). Nordic Demographic Symposium, Middelfart (Denmark).
Event • Jun 11, 2025
Everything in mortality is a tempo effect
Jonas Schöley. Nordic Demographic Symposium, Middelfart (Denmark).
One can only die once and thus, in a closed cohort, any excess death relates to a missing death at a different point in time.
Event • Apr 12, 2025
Perinatal Demography
Jonas Schöley (Chair), Jenna Nobles (Discussant). PAA 2025, Washington D.C. (USA).
Event • Mar 17, 2025
The future of open science in demography
Jonas Schöley (Discussant). MPIDR Open Science Workshop, Rostock (Germany).
Panel discussion
Event • Sep 26, 2024
EDSD Recruitment Day 2024
Jonas Schöley (Chair), Christian Dudel, Marcus Ebeling, Susie Lee. MPIDR, Rostock (Germany).
Event • May 15, 2024
The "birth hump" – A shape decomposition of perinatal excess mortality
Jonas Schöley, Maxi Kniffka. European Population Conference 2024, Edinburgh (UK).
Event • Apr 18, 2024
The "birth hump" – A shape decomposition of perinatal excess mortality
Jonas Schöley, Maxi Kniffka. Population Association of America Annual Meeting 2024, Columbus (US).
Event • Mar 1, 2024
How Covid Pandemic Affected Mortality Rates in Nordic Countries and Germany?
Jonas Schöley (Chair). DGD 2024, Wiesbaden (Germany).
Event • Oct 19, 2023
Modeling the effect of weekly temperature anomalies on country level mortality
Jonas Schöley. World Health Organization, Online.
Global population weighted weekly temperature anomalies by country.
Event • Oct 2, 2023
Event • Sep 21, 2023
Perinatal demography – studying the transition from fetus to infant
Jonas Schöley, Maxi Kniffka. Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock (Germany).
Event • Jul 3, 2023
Empirical prediction intervals applied to short-term mortality forecasts and excess deaths
Jonas Schöley, Ricarda Duerst. Bundesinstitut für Bevölkerungsforschung, Wiesbaden (Germany).
Event • May 15, 2023
The birth hump – A shape decomposition of perinatal excess mortality
Jonas Schöley. Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Oxford (UK).
Event • Apr 25, 2023
COVID-19 – Period shock or new mortality regime?
Jonas Schöley. WissenschaftsForum, Berlin (Germany).