Event • Apr 20, 2026

Gestational age patterns of feto-infant mortality

Jonas Schöley. MRC Unit The Gambia / LSHTM, Online.

Ontogenescence and the birth hump in data scarce settings


Event • Jan 28, 2026

Identification, characterization, and simulation of mortality shocks via Hidden Markov Lee-Carter models

Jonas Schöley. Space-Time Analysis Bayes Research Group, Seattle (USA).

A hidden Markov extension to the Lee-Carter model.


Event • Oct 9, 2025

Temporary shock or lasting scar?

Jonas Schöley. 7th Human Mortality Database Symposium, INED Paris (France).

Is the COVID-19 mortality shock temporary, or do populations have to face a lasting scar?


Event • Sep 24, 2025

Gompertz in early life or my on-off-on relationship with Vaupelian modeling

Jonas Schöley. Evolutionary Demography Society, Oxford (UK).

Keynote in honour of 200 years of Gompertz’s law of mortality.


Event • Jun 12, 2025

Innovations in Demographic Forecasting and Projection

Jonas Schöley (Chair). Nordic Demographic Symposium, Middelfart (Denmark).


Event • Jun 11, 2025

Everything in mortality is a tempo effect

Jonas Schöley. Nordic Demographic Symposium, Middelfart (Denmark).

One can only die once and thus, in a closed cohort, any excess death relates to a missing death at a different point in time.


Event • Apr 12, 2025

Perinatal Demography

Jonas Schöley (Chair), Jenna Nobles (Discussant). PAA 2025, Washington D.C. (USA).


Event • Mar 17, 2025

The future of open science in demography

Jonas Schöley (Discussant). MPIDR Open Science Workshop, Rostock (Germany).

Panel discussion


Event • Sep 26, 2024

EDSD Recruitment Day 2024

Jonas Schöley (Chair), Christian Dudel, Marcus Ebeling, Susie Lee. MPIDR, Rostock (Germany).


Event • May 15, 2024

The "birth hump" – A shape decomposition of perinatal excess mortality

Jonas Schöley, Maxi Kniffka. European Population Conference 2024, Edinburgh (UK).


Event • Apr 18, 2024

The "birth hump" – A shape decomposition of perinatal excess mortality

Jonas Schöley, Maxi Kniffka. Population Association of America Annual Meeting 2024, Columbus (US).


Event • Mar 1, 2024

Event • Oct 19, 2023

Modeling the effect of weekly temperature anomalies on country level mortality

Jonas Schöley. World Health Organization, Online.

Global population weighted weekly temperature anomalies by country.


Event • Oct 2, 2023

COVID-19 – Period shock or new mortality regime?

Jonas Schöley. Statistics Netherlands, Online.


Event • Sep 21, 2023

Perinatal demography – studying the transition from fetus to infant

Jonas Schöley, Maxi Kniffka. Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock (Germany).


Event • Jul 3, 2023

Empirical prediction intervals applied to short-term mortality forecasts and excess deaths

Jonas Schöley, Ricarda Duerst. Bundesinstitut für Bevölkerungsforschung, Wiesbaden (Germany).


Event • May 15, 2023

The birth hump – A shape decomposition of perinatal excess mortality

Jonas Schöley. Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Oxford (UK).


Event • Apr 25, 2023

COVID-19 – Period shock or new mortality regime?

Jonas Schöley. WissenschaftsForum, Berlin (Germany).