PhD Defense Ricarda Duerst

Defense of thesis on “Learning from past mistakes – Uncertainty in demographic forecasting”.

Continuities and discontinuities on the Lexis surface, also demoscapes.org

A hidden Markov extension to the Lee-Carter model.

Identification, characterization, and simulation of mortality shocks via Hidden Markov Lee-Carter models

A hidden Markov extension to the Lee-Carter model.

Open science practices for demographic research

Kicking off EAPS Working Group on Open Science in Demography.

Identification, characterization, and simulation of mortality shocks via Hidden Markov Lee-Carter models

A hidden Markov extension to the Lee-Carter model.

Gestational age patterns of feto-infant mortality

Ontogenescence and the birth hump in data scarce settings

Identification, characterization, and simulation of mortality shocks via Hidden Markov Lee-Carter models

A hidden Markov extension to the Lee-Carter model.

Temporary shock or lasting scar?

Is the COVID-19 mortality shock temporary, or do populations have to face a lasting scar?

Gompertz in early life or my on-off-on relationship with Vaupelian modeling

Keynote in honour of 200 years of Gompertz’s law of mortality.

Innovations in Demographic Forecasting and Projection

Everything in mortality is a tempo effect

One can only die once and thus, in a closed cohort, any excess death relates to a missing death at a different point in time.

Perinatal Demography

The future of open science in demography

Panel discussion

EDSD Recruitment Day 2024

The "birth hump" – A shape decomposition of perinatal excess mortality

The "birth hump" – A shape decomposition of perinatal excess mortality

How Covid Pandemic Affected Mortality Rates in Nordic Countries and Germany?

Modeling the effect of weekly temperature anomalies on country level mortality

Global population weighted weekly temperature anomalies by country.

COVID-19 – Period shock or new mortality regime?

Perinatal demography – studying the transition from fetus to infant

Empirical prediction intervals applied to short-term mortality forecasts and excess deaths

The birth hump – A shape decomposition of perinatal excess mortality

COVID-19 – Period shock or new mortality regime?