Event • Jun 15, 2026

Continuities and discontinuities on the Lexis surface, also demoscapes.org

Jonas Schöley. Dansk Demografisk Forening, Copenhagen (DK).

A hidden Markov extension to the Lee-Carter model.


Event • Jun 4, 2026

Identification, characterization, and simulation of mortality shocks via Hidden Markov Lee-Carter models

Jonas Schöley. EPC 2026, Bologna (IT).

A hidden Markov extension to the Lee-Carter model.


Event • Jun 3, 2026

Open science practices for demographic research

Jonas Schöley, Aliakbar Akbaritabar. EAPS Open Science Working Group, Bologna (Italy).

Kicking off EAPS Working Group on Open Science in Demography.


Event • May 26, 2026

Identification, characterization, and simulation of mortality shocks via Hidden Markov Lee-Carter models

Jonas Schöley. MIRG @ LSHTM, London (UK).

A hidden Markov extension to the Lee-Carter model.


Event • Apr 20, 2026

Gestational age patterns of feto-infant mortality

Jonas Schöley. MRC Unit The Gambia / LSHTM, Online.

Ontogenescence and the birth hump in data scarce settings


Event • Jan 28, 2026

Identification, characterization, and simulation of mortality shocks via Hidden Markov Lee-Carter models

Jonas Schöley. Space-Time Analysis Bayes Research Group, Seattle (USA).

A hidden Markov extension to the Lee-Carter model.


Event • Oct 9, 2025

Temporary shock or lasting scar?

Jonas Schöley. 7th Human Mortality Database Symposium, INED Paris (France).

Is the COVID-19 mortality shock temporary, or do populations have to face a lasting scar?


Event • Sep 24, 2025

Gompertz in early life or my on-off-on relationship with Vaupelian modeling

Jonas Schöley. Evolutionary Demography Society, Oxford (UK).

Keynote in honour of 200 years of Gompertz’s law of mortality.


Event • Jun 12, 2025

Innovations in Demographic Forecasting and Projection

Jonas Schöley (Chair). Nordic Demographic Symposium, Middelfart (Denmark).


Event • Jun 11, 2025

Everything in mortality is a tempo effect

Jonas Schöley. Nordic Demographic Symposium, Middelfart (Denmark).

One can only die once and thus, in a closed cohort, any excess death relates to a missing death at a different point in time.


Event • Apr 12, 2025

Perinatal Demography

Jonas Schöley (Chair), Jenna Nobles (Discussant). PAA 2025, Washington D.C. (USA).


Event • Mar 17, 2025

The future of open science in demography

Jonas Schöley (Discussant). MPIDR Open Science Workshop, Rostock (Germany).

Panel discussion


Event • Sep 26, 2024

EDSD Recruitment Day 2024

Jonas Schöley (Chair), Christian Dudel, Marcus Ebeling, Susie Lee. MPIDR, Rostock (Germany).


Event • May 15, 2024

The "birth hump" – A shape decomposition of perinatal excess mortality

Jonas Schöley, Maxi Kniffka. European Population Conference 2024, Edinburgh (UK).


Event • Apr 18, 2024

The "birth hump" – A shape decomposition of perinatal excess mortality

Jonas Schöley, Maxi Kniffka. Population Association of America Annual Meeting 2024, Columbus (US).


Event • Mar 1, 2024

Event • Oct 19, 2023

Modeling the effect of weekly temperature anomalies on country level mortality

Jonas Schöley. World Health Organization, Online.

Global population weighted weekly temperature anomalies by country.


Event • Oct 2, 2023

COVID-19 – Period shock or new mortality regime?

Jonas Schöley. Statistics Netherlands, Online.


Event • Sep 21, 2023

Perinatal demography – studying the transition from fetus to infant

Jonas Schöley, Maxi Kniffka. Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock (Germany).


Event • Jul 3, 2023

Empirical prediction intervals applied to short-term mortality forecasts and excess deaths

Jonas Schöley, Ricarda Duerst. Bundesinstitut für Bevölkerungsforschung, Wiesbaden (Germany).


Event • May 15, 2023

The birth hump – A shape decomposition of perinatal excess mortality

Jonas Schöley. Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Oxford (UK).


Event • Apr 25, 2023

COVID-19 – Period shock or new mortality regime?

Jonas Schöley. WissenschaftsForum, Berlin (Germany).